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Upload Student Data
Upload the Excel or CSV file containing student responses to analyze their indicator weights and forecasts.
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Supports .xlsx and .csv files
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Indicator Weights Analysis
Average weights assigned to each economic indicator by students.
Weight Statistics
| Indicator | Avg Weight | Min | Max |
|---|
GDP Growth Forecast
Distribution of student forecasts for GDP growth.
12-Month Forecast
24-Month Forecast
Summary Statistics
12-Month GDP Growth
Most Common:
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Sample Size:
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24-Month GDP Growth
Most Common:
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Sample Size:
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Recession Probability
Distribution of student estimates for recession probability in the next 12 months.
Summary Statistics
Average Probability:
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Median Probability:
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Min Probability:
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Max Probability:
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Probability Distribution
Class Average Leading Index
Aggregate index created using the average weights from student responses or equal weights when no student data is uploaded.
Signal Analysis
0.0
| Date | Type | Recession Start | Lead Time (Months) | Result |
|---|
Performance Metrics
True Positives:
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False Positives:
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Coincident Signals:
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Missed Recessions:
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Avg Lead Time:
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Average months before recession
Recession Detection Rate:
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Percentage of recessions correctly predicted
Signal Accuracy:
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TP/(TP+FP+FN-Coincident)